Sevilla v Real Madrid.

INTRODUCTION:

Sevilla host Real Madrid on Sunday, 22nd of September 2019 at the Estadio Rámon Sánchez Pizjuán stadium (Sevilla). Both teams return home from their european outings with Sevilla securing a comfortable 3-0 with at Baku, Azerbajan ; while Madrid ironically got a 3-0 bashing from PSG.

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SEVILLA

Although, there is less time to rest after a nine hours flight back home, but Julen Lopetegui’s men will head into this match in high spirit. There are no injury concerns except for 32 year old Spanish midfielder Nolito, who is a doubt for this match. Sevilla have started this season on a high, topping the La Liga table after 4 matches, winning 3 and drawing 1; scoring 5 and conceding just 1.

REAL MADRID

The return of Zinedine Zidane has yielded little or no result. Los Blancos have not been finding things funny even after spending huge over the summer. Although, the team have been inflicted with injuries, the dept of the squad is not helping matters. Asensio, Diaz, Isco, Marcelo, Modric, and Valverde will all miss this crunchy game due to injuries.

Madrid are third on the log with 8 points, 2 wins and 2 draws; scored 9 and conceded 6. Hazard , Bale and Jovic should up their game if they want to avoid further disaster.

STATISTICS:

Sevilla have scored 2 or more goals in 18 matches out of 20 when playing at home against Real Madrid. Scoring a total of 41 goals.

In the last 20 home matches against Madrid, Sevilla have just failed to score once, back in 2011.

In the last 20 games at Seville, Real Madrid has won just 5 times.

I do not see Madrid keeping a clean sheet. Thibout Courtois is Madrid’s first choice goalkeeper and has not kept a clean sheet since February, SEVEN MONTHS AGO!!!

CONCLUSION AND BETTING TIP:

Statistically speaking, this should be an interesting and entertaining encounter. I am expecting individual brilliance to come to play, Sevilla striker Javier Hernandes AKA Chicharito will want to show his former employers what they have been missing.

After checking the market and what the bookmakers offered, there is no value in the over 2.5 market, also, there is no value in the BTTS (or GG) market.

However, there is a slightly better value in the HWEH (Home to Win Either Halves) or (Home Team/Team 1 to win at least one halve). This tip has been landing in the last 5 games between them.

I also think the price for Sevilla win is great, considering their form at the moment and Real Madrid’s. But to be on a safer side, I will be backing …..

  • HWEH @ 1.76 odds for 3 units stake or
  • Over 1.5 home team goals @ 1.96 odds.

GOODLUCK IN YOUR SELECTIONS!!!

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